🎓 The Distinguished Gentleman's Guide to Not Losing Your Shirt

Welcome to Tim's Corner (Where Dreams Go to Die)

Named after our beloved Tim Rayner, who once folded pocket kings because he "had to take a work call." This section is for those magical moments when you need actual guidance instead of relying on "gut feelings" and "reading Bill's eyebrow twitch."

🎯 What Is This Sorcery?

This calculator shows you the mathematical probability of winning with any starting hand. It's like having a PhD in Mathematics, except useful.

  • Green cells (>20%): Play these like Jan plays - smugly
  • Yellow cells (10-15%): Maybe play, maybe fold, definitely blame the dealer
  • Red cells (<7%): Only play if you're Bill after beer #8

⏰ When to Use This Tool

  • Before the game: Study which hands to play from each position
  • During bathroom breaks: Quick check that K-3 offsuit you're considering
  • After bad beats: Prove mathematically that you were right all along
  • Never during your turn: We already wait 10 minutes for Peter to fold

📊 Understanding the Numbers

The percentages show your chance of winning against random hands:

  • AA at 2 players (85%): You'll still lose to Bill's 7-2 offsuit
  • AK suited (31%): Better than it sounds, worse than you hope
  • 7-2 offsuit (4%): The "Bill Special" - inexplicably wins every time

The Sacred Geometry of Seating (Or: Why Louie Always Wins)

Position is power. It's why Jan insists on the same chair every week and why Tim always leaves early when he's in the big blind.

🔫 UTG (Under the Gun)

The Sacrifice Zone - First to Act

Play only top 11% of hands

Example hands: AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK

Reality check: This is where dreams die and Tim folds everything

💡 Pro tip: If you're raising from here, you better have the goods or be Jan with "a feeling"

🎯 MP (Middle Position)

The Comfort Zone - Some Information

Play top 14-17% of hands

Add: AQ, AJ, KQ, Medium pairs

Reality: Where Peter contemplates life for 5 minutes per decision

💡 Pro tip: You can start playing suited connectors if Bill's been drinking

🎪 CO (Cutoff)

The Stealing Station - Late Position Power

Play top 20-25% of hands

Add: Suited aces, KJ, QJ, All pairs

Reality: Seb's favorite spot to "get creative"

💡 Pro tip: Start stealing blinds here, especially from Tim who's already mentally at home

👑 BTN (Button)

The Throne - Maximum Power

Play top 40-50% of hands

Play: Any ace, Any pair, Most suited cards, Your grandmother's birthday numbers

Reality: Where Louie turns garbage into beachfront property

💡 Pro tip: You're last to act post-flop. This is basically a license to print money

🛡️ SB/BB (Blinds)

The Defense Department - Already Invested

Defend wider but cautiously

SB: Worst position in poker, like being Tim at any position

BB: You're getting odds to call, but you'll be out of position

💡 Pro tip: Don't throw good money after bad. Unless it's Thursday and we're all drunk anyway

The Hall of Shame (Mistakes We Definitely Never Make)

A comprehensive guide to errors that only happen to "other people" and definitely not to seven distinguished gentlemen every Thursday night.

🎰 The Tim Rayner Special

Playing Every Suited Hand

"But they were suited!" - Tim, holding 7-3 suited, circa every week

The Fix: Being suited only adds ~3% to your winning chances. That's less than Bill's chance of bringing decent wine.

🐌 The Peter O'Toole Classic

Taking 10 Minutes to Fold 7-2

"I'm thinking about the meta-game" - Peter, holding obvious garbage

The Fix: If you're not in the top 50% of hands and facing a raise, just fold. Your "soul read" is probably gas.

🦁 The Jan Stuebbe Syndrome

Overplaying Ace-Rag

"Ace-high is a strong hand!" - Jan, losing to literally any pair

The Fix: A-2 through A-9 offsuit are trap hands. They look pretty but play ugly, like Jan's golf swing.

🍺 The Bill Egbe Phenomenon

Position? What Position?

"I like this hand" - Bill, raising UTG with J-7 suited

The Fix: Position is everything. Playing out of position is like bringing wine from Mercadona - technically allowed but morally wrong.

📱 The Seb Couturier Distraction

Limping With Premium Hands

"I'm being deceptive" - Seb, letting everyone see a cheap flop with his aces

The Fix: Raise your strong hands. Slow-playing is like Seb's banking stories - occasionally interesting but usually costly.

💔 The Louie Brehm Heartbreak

Falling in Love With Pocket Jacks

"Jacks are basically aces" - Louie, about to lose his stack

The Fix: JJ is good but not great. There are 3 overcards that will come 51% of the time. It's like Louie's Napa shipments - impressive on paper, dangerous when mismanaged.

Real-Life Scenarios (From Our Actual Games)

Because sometimes you need to know exactly what to do when Bill is on his 9th beer and Jan is giving his "I definitely don't have aces" speech.

Scenario 1: "The Thursday Night Special"

Setup: You're in MP with A-J offsuit. UTG (Peter) has been folding for 45 minutes straight and just raised. Tim has already left. Bill is telling a story about banking regulations.

The Play: FOLD

Why: Peter only raises with premium hands. Your AJ is crushed by his range. Save your chips for when Bill starts playing "any two cards" after 10pm.

Scenario 2: "The Button Steal"

Setup: You're on the button with 7-8 suited. Everyone folded to you. Jan (SB) is checking his phone, Tim (BB) is already putting on his coat.

The Play: RAISE 3x BB

Why: This is a textbook steal situation. Even if called, you have position and a playable hand. Plus Tim will fold anything less than aces when he's in "leaving mode."

Scenario 3: "The Wine Bottle Bounty"

Setup: Special rules tonight - winner gets everyone's wine. You have pocket 5s UTG. This is the hand that determines whether you're drinking Château Margaux or Tim's Mercadona special.

The Play: FOLD

Why: Small pairs need to see cheap flops. UTG raises get too much action. Wait for better spots unless you want to explain to your wife why you came home with 7 bottles of €3 wine.

Scenario 4: "The Ego Battle"

Setup: Jan raised UTG, Louie 3-bet from MP, Seb cold-4-bet from the button. You look down at QQ in the big blind. The testosterone in the room could be bottled and sold.

The Play: THINK, then probably FOLD

Why: This much action means someone has AA or KK. Your queens are pretty but so was the Titanic. Live to fight another hand.

🏆 The Golden Rules of Thursday Night Poker

  1. The 10 PM Rule: After 10 PM, everyone's range widens by 50% and Bill starts playing literally any two cards
  2. The Tim Timer: If Tim checks his phone more than twice, he's folding regardless of his hand
  3. The Jan Tell: When Jan says "I might be bluffing," he's never bluffing
  4. The Peter Pause: Every minute Peter thinks equals 10% hand strength (5 minutes = monster)
  5. The Louie Listing Presentation: If Louie opens his laptop before betting, he has the nuts
  6. The Seb Smile: Seb only smiles when he's either bluffing or has the nuts. Good luck figuring out which
  7. The Bill Constant: Bill's hand strength is inversely proportional to his beer count

Quick Hand Lookup

Table Position Guide

Position is power in poker. The later you act, the more information you have and the wider your range can be.

UTG 11%
UTG+1 13%
MP 15-17%
CO 20-25%
BTN 40-50%
SB Varies
BB Defend

Standard Raise Sizing

  • Open Raise: 3× big blind (standard at low stakes)
  • 3-Bet: 3× the original raise when in position, 4× out of position
  • 4-Bet: 2.2-2.5× the 3-bet size
  • Isolation Raise: 3× BB + 1× BB per limper

Why Tight Ranges Work at Low Stakes

  • Players call too often with weak hands
  • Less bluffing means stronger hands win more
  • Position advantage is maximized with quality hands
  • Reduces difficult post-flop decisions
  • TAG (Tight-Aggressive) is the most profitable style for beginners

3-Bet Decision Calculator

Should you 3-bet? Enter the positions and your hand to get TAG-style guidance.

📱 On mobile: Scroll horizontally to view the full odds table

Hand Strength Legend

Premium (>20%)
Strong (15-20%)
Playable (10-15%)
Marginal (7-10%)
Weak (<7%)

🃏 Poker Hand Rankings

From "mortgage the house" to "fold pre-flop" - Know what beats what

🤔 Which Hand Wins?

VS

When players have the same hand rank (like both having a pair), the "kicker" determines the winner.

Example:

Player 1: A♠ K♥ with board 2♦ 2♣ 7♠ 9♥ J♣ = Pair of 2s with A-K-J kickers
Player 2: A♦ Q♠ with same board = Pair of 2s with A-Q-J kickers
✅ Player 1 wins! (King kicker beats Queen kicker)

Remember: In Texas Hold'em, you use the best 5 cards from your 2 hole cards + 5 community cards. That's why playing hands with good kickers (like A-K, A-Q) is important!